How AI and Automation Help Predict Supplier Price Changes Before They Happen
Imagine negotiating with a supplier, only to find that raw material prices have jumped overnight. Your carefully planned cost estimates are now obsolete, and your margins are shrinking. Sound familiar?
Supply chains are more volatile than ever, forcing cost engineers and procurement specialists to rethink supplier cost strategies. In the first half of 2024 alone, reported disruptions increased by 30% year-over-year, with factory fires, labor disputes, extreme weather events and cyberattacks among the top causes. These incidents cost organizations an estimated $184 billion annually, according to the 2025 J.S. Held Global Risk Report.
Despite these challenges, many cost engineering teams still rely on outdated cost estimation methods. A 2024 study found that procurement teams use only 5-10% of available technology, leading to inefficiencies and poor decision-making.
Using AI to Anticipate Supplier Price Shifts
For a long time, cost engineering and procurement teams have relied on historical data and spreadsheets to estimate supplier costs. But in today’s volatile market, that’s no longer enough.
According to a recent survey by Exasol, 91% of organizations now consider AI and predictive analytics essential to supply chain management, and 72% believe failing to invest in these technologies could put their business at risk
Why? Because AI can detect pricing trends before they happen. By analyzing real-time industry benchmarks, supplier cost structures, and historical fluctuations, AI-driven procurement tools can:
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Predict supplier cost increases before they occur
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Compare supplier quotes with live market data to expose unjustified markups
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Run scenario-based cost simulations to identify alternative sourcing strategies
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Minimize risks tied to sudden commodity price volatility
With AI-driven should-costing, procurement teams no longer have to react to price hikes. Instead, they can anticipate them and negotiate proactively.
Why Automated Should-Costing is Essential for Procurement Teams
Predicting supplier pricing is only part of the equation. The real advantage comes from automation, which turns insights into action without relying on manual data processing. Automating cost analysis transforms procurement operations by:
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Eliminating manual errors and inefficiencies in cost calculations
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Providing real-time cost tracking, rather than relying on static estimates
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Enabling collaboration between cost engineers, procurement managers, and finance teams
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Integrating predictive analytics to anticipate supplier price changes before they happen
With automated costing, manufacturers no longer need to wait and react to supplier price increases - they can anticipate them and take measures proactively.
Discover how automated cost engineering software not only improves procurement efficiency but also helps manufacturers achieve sustainability goals. Read more in our blog
See How Brose Uses Automation to Streamline Costs & CO₂ Transparency
Brose leveraged Tset’s automation to enhance cost visibility, speed up product development, and gain real-time insights into CO₂ emissions. See how automated product costing software helps them make smarter, more sustainable decisions.
Tset’s Automated Product Costing
Tset’s automated product costing software enables procurement teams to stay ahead of supplier price shifts by:
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Analyzing historical supplier data to detect trends and cost deviations
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Identifying hidden cost drivers in supplier quotes to strengthen negotiation positions
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Running scenario-based cost simulations to explore alternative sourcing strategies
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Providing up-to-date industry cost data to avoid pricing surprises
Tset’s algorithm-driven calculation modules create a bottom-up cost structure for individual parts, detailing required materials, machines, setup times, and labor. This ensures that every cost element is fully transparent, allowing cost engineers to adjust parameters and evaluate alternative sourcing strategies. Tset’s pre-built industry data sets and real-time updates ensure that cost models remain accurate and up to date. This gives procurement teams the insights they need to make smarter, faster decisions.
With Tset, procurement teams can validate cost data in real time, ensuring pricing accuracy and reducing negotiation risks.
How an Automated Calculation Tool Helps Unlock Supplier Cost Insights
Is your procurement team struggling to keep pace with increasing quote volumes, sustainability requirements, and demands for cost transparency? Learn how Tset's software bridges technical and commercial gaps while enabling data-driven decision-making. Download our whitepaper now to discover the future of strategic procurement.
Conclusion
Manufacturers cannot afford to rely on outdated methods in today’s increasingly uncertain market. Algorithm-driven should-costing provides the transparency and foresight needed to manage supplier pricing effectively. With Tset’s automated cost analysis software, cost engineers can gain a competitive advantage by making data-backed decisions before supplier price changes take effect.
1. How can AI help predict supplier price changes?
AI analyzes historical supplier data, real-time market trends, and industry benchmarks to forecast price fluctuations before they impact procurement costs.
2. Why are supplier prices rising in 2025?
Supplier prices are increasing due to global supply chain disruptions, commodity price fluctuations, geopolitical conflicts, labor shortages, and transportation delays.
3. What is should-costing, and how does it help control supplier pricing?
Should-costing is a cost analysis method that breaks down supplier prices based on materials, labor, and production costs, helping procurement teams negotiate fair pricing.
4. How does automation improve procurement efficiency?
Automated procurement tools eliminate manual errors, track supplier prices in real-time, and provide predictive cost analysis, helping teams make faster, data-driven decisions.
5. What tools can manufacturers use to manage supplier price volatility?
AI-powered should-costing and automated cost analysis tools help manufacturers forecast pricing trends, optimize procurement, and mitigate cost risks.
Are unpredictable supplier costs disrupting your margins?
Book a demo today to learn how Tset can support your cost management strategy.